Universidade Fernando Pessoa
Porto, Portugal
Probabilistic Reserves Assessment
Properties of data area called Sample Properties, while properties of the probability distribution are called Model or Population Properties. The mean of the population is an example of a parameter. The mean of a sample is an example of a statistic.
Caveat:
These notes are not a short-course. They correspond to an eclectic gathering of self suffisient plates used during a short-course given in November 15th at the "Instituto Argentino del Petroleo y del Gas" in Mar de Plata 2005. (ccramez@compuserve.com).
Contents:
I - Introduction II - A Priori Hypotheses III - Data Description IV - Probability V - Basic Operations VI - Conditional Probability VII - Bayes Theorem VIII - Random Variables IX - Types of Random Variables X - Discrete Random Variable's Properties XI - Continuous Random Variable's Properties XII - Bernoulli Trial XIII - The Binomial Random Variable XIV - Statistical Distribution a) Normal Distribution b) Lognormal Distribution c) Normal & Lognormal Distribution d) Triangular Distribution e) Parabolic Fractal Distribution XV - Monte Carlo Simulation XVI - Monte Carlo & Petroleum Systems XVII - Bourdaire's Approach a) Example b) Recovery Factor XVIII - Reserves Classification a) WPC/SPE Reserves b) Reserves & Resources c) Field & Basin Reserves d) New Technology XVIII- Bibliography